How the Upcoming Australian Election Could Affect Kenyans in Australia and Immigration Policy

As Australians prepare to head to the polls in the next federal election (expected between late 2024 and early 2025), many Kenyans living in or seeking to migrate to Australia are watching closely. The outcomes of this election could shape immigration policies, work and study opportunities, and multicultural support systems that directly impact our community.

Why This Election Matters for Kenyans in Australia

Federal elections in Australia determine the makeup of the House of Representatives and the Senate — the bodies responsible for passing laws, including those related to immigration, citizenship, and foreign affairs. Depending on which party forms government — Labor (currently in power), the Coalition (Liberal-National), or a potential minority government supported by crossbenchers — the direction of immigration policies could change significantly.

With immigration being a central issue in the political debate, this election may influence:

• Visa policy reforms

• International student migration rules

• Family reunion pathways

• Skilled migrant occupation lists

• Diaspora engagement initiatives

Key Immigration Themes to Watch

1. Permanent Migration Program

The Albanese Labor Government increased Australia’s permanent migration cap to 190,000 places for 2023–24, up from 160,000 in previous years. If re-elected, Labor is expected to maintain or even increase these numbers, especially in skilled categories — a potential win for Kenyans seeking permanent residency.

However, the opposition Coalition has hinted at reducing the intake, arguing it adds pressure to housing, infrastructure, and job markets. A change in government could therefore mean stricter quotas or a shift in priority occupations, affecting how many Kenyans get invited through skilled visas.

2. International Students & Graduate Visas

Australia is currently tightening controls on student visa approvals to curb exploitation and ensure genuine students are entering the country. Recent reforms have introduced stricter English requirements, higher financial thresholds, and reduced post-study work visa durations for some fields.

These changes have already begun impacting Kenyan students. If Labor remains in power, these reforms are likely to continue in the name of integrity. However, a Coalition government may take an even tougher stance, potentially reducing intake or increasing compliance checks — affecting future Kenyan students.

3. Family Reunion and Humanitarian Pathways

Labor has shown interest in making family reunification easier and more accessible, especially for partners and immediate family members. They're also expanding pathways for refugees and humanitarian entrants, including community sponsorship programs.

A Coalition government may tighten family reunion visa processing or increase wait times, as seen in previous terms.

4. Temporary Workers and Migration Exploitation

Kenyans on Temporary Skill Shortage (TSS) visas or working holiday visas often face precarious conditions. Labor has pledged to crack down on employer exploitation, including by enforcing wage compliance and improving mobility between employers. The government is also reforming the TSS visa to make permanent residency more accessible for eligible workers — a big win for Kenyans seeking long-term settlement.

On the other hand, the Coalition may shift the focus back toward short-term, employer-driven migration models, which historically limited PR options.

5. Diaspora Engagement & Multiculturalism

The current government has shown openness to engaging with diaspora communities — including through policies like the Multicultural Framework Review, which aims to enhance the voice of immigrant communities in policymaking.

A re-elected Labor government may continue supporting Kenyan community initiatives, student organizations, and multicultural festivals. A less proactive approach from the opposition could slow momentum in this area.

What Does This Mean for Kenyans?

For Those Already in Australia:

• PR hopefuls in skilled occupations or employer-sponsored roles may benefit under a Labor government.

• International students may face tighter checks but could benefit from post-study migration pathways.

• Temporary visa holders should track reforms that improve work conditions and offer PR transition.

For Those Back in Kenya:

• A Labor win may offer a slightly more welcoming environment with higher caps, broader humanitarian programs, and expanded family reunion.

• A Coalition victory may result in more selective immigration policies, with increased scrutiny and fewer long-term pathways.

Final Thoughts

While immigration isn’t the only issue on the ballot, it remains a defining policy area for migrant communities like Kenyans in Australia. The upcoming election could redefine who gets to study, work, settle, or reunite with family in Australia. As such, it’s crucial for our community to stay informed, participate where possible, and engage with elected leaders on the issues that matter to us.

Stay tuned to Kenyans in Australia for updates, voter information (for those eligible), and how the results may shape our collective future.